Weather Forecast Prediction: An Integrated Approach for Analyzing and Measuring Weather Data

An Automated, Operational Two Hour Convective Weather Forecast for the Corridor Integrated Weather

Cloudy forecast for weather satellite data.

IN THE NEWS FOCUS STORY “WEATHER forecasts slowly clearing up” (9 November, p. 734), R. Kerr nicely summarizes how the growing improvement in prediction is coming from a focus on “more computer power, the assimilation of radar observations, and more physically realistic models.” He emphasizes that better assimilation of satellite data is a key element of improved forecasting. Unfortunately, the...

Downscaling Global Weather Forecast Outputs Using ANN for Flood Prediction

Downscaling global weather prediction model outputs to individual locations or local scales is a common practice for operational weather forecast in order to correct the model outputs at subgrid scales. This paper presents an empirical-statistical downscaling method for precipitation prediction which uses a feed-forward multilayer perceptron MLP neural network. The MLP architecture was optimize...

Performance Prediction for Parallel Local Weather Forecast Programs

a a ABSTRACT: Performance modeling for scientific production codes is of interest both for program tuning and for the selection of new machines. An empirical method is used for developing a model to predict the runtime of large parallel weather prediction programs. The different steps of the method are outlined giving examples from two different programs of the DWD (German Weather Service). The...

Weather Derivatives and Seasonal Forecast

The purpose of this paper is to incorporate the CPC (Climate Prediction Center) seasonal forecast in the temperature process so that conditional means and conditional variances of both the temperature and the CDD (Cooling Degree Day) may be redetermined in accordance with the seasonal forecasting probabilities. Under the Gaussian property of the underlying process, the prices of the CDD options...